College Football - Week 11 - 2026
College Football – Week 11
Week 10 Premium Plays Record: 2-3 (-1 unit)
Week 10 Leans Record: 3-1 (+1 units)
Overall Premium Plays Record: 24-25-1 (+2 units)
Overall Leans Record: 22-26 (-2 units)
Overall Combined Record: 46-51-1 (even)
S-T-A-T-E of the Union: Treading water… never want to let guys like me hang around. They will make you pay. Side note… contract negotiations are ongoing with Tickets and Spo’s Sports. Future unclear. If this year is the last dance… Tickets is going to leave you with something special these last few weeks.
Week 11 Preview: Vegas was indeed sharp last week but they have made some serious mistakes this week. Loving the way this week is shaking out – we get to give the nod to several of the main stays.
Week 11 Premium Plays:
Auburn -2.5 at Mississippi State (1 unit): Never seen a team turn into such a dumpster fire with the loss of their quarterback. Kamario Taylor going down has been absolutely catastrophic for this State team. Auburn has been profitable for us – as a fade.. The Tigers haven’t covered in three weeks but according to my Auburn correspondent, ‘Heads will roll if we don’t win this week’… I don’t know if Auburn has it in them to fire a coach halfway through year one but it would definitely be a tough look for Golesh and co. Not much to say about this one. Wouldn’t recommend watching this one but I’m not necessarily in the business of style points. Auburn covers, 31-21.
Wake Forest +1.5 at SMU (2 units): Golden opportunity to fade an overrated SMU team. These teams are somehow very similar statistically because there is a stark difference in results. The Deamon Deacons have been throttling teams outscoring their last five opponents by a tally of 264-31. On the other hand, SMU has a loss to Cuse, a couple of rock fights against UVA and Boston College.. I just don’t see how these team are on the same field statistically. Wake Forrest has the 9th ranked overall offense compared to SMU’s 11th ranked offense. The Deamon Deacons also have the 24th best defense compared to SMU’s 27th ranking. I think this game largely gets decided through the air but the matchups that favor Jake Dickerts team is his rush defense vs the SMU rush offense and Gio Lopez against the mustangs 42nd ranked pass defense. These teams are on two different levels and a newly inked contract for Jake Dickert should give him plenty of motivation. Playoffs are on the table for Wake Forrest if they can take care of business Saturday. Deacs wrangle the Mustangs, 35-21.
Bama -17 at Vandy (2 units): Bama, unfortunately, has been one of my boys this year. I expect another dog walking here after rag dolling lil bro, Lane Kiffin. Nothing to look forward to for the tide with Chattanooga waiting in the wind – just Vanderbilt. An atrocious Vanderbilt team with a freshman QB who will certainly struggle against a great Bama defense. I think somehow Bama may come out with a chip on their shoulder despite getting the E-SEC-PN treatment by the playoff committee – no one thinks they should be ranked as high as #3 and hopefully Kaelen Deboer lets the boys know. I know Saban would manufacture some ‘no-one believed in us’ narrative. This should be a blood bath. Tide Rolls, 41-10
Ole Miss +1 at Oklahoma (2 units): Absolutely disrespectful line to throw out there. This is an Ole Miss team that had the world in the palm of their hand three weeks ago before losing a close one to Texas and getting dragged by Georgia (who hasn’t) last week. They’ve got a chip on their shoulder and a bad Oklahoma team waiting. The Rebels need to bounce back here and I think they can do enough on offense to outrun the Sooners. Mateer and the OU offense is under new leadership as of last week and they still didn’t look great against a middle tier Florida Gators defense. I’ll take Trinidad Chambliss in a pick em. Rebels out gun the Sooners, 27-20.
Wisco at Maryland over 42 (1 unit): Set it and forget it. Wouldn’t ask my followers to watch this game. Only profit off of it. Place the bet, I’ll tell you when it’s over. Maryland invites chaos and has covered this over in 8/9 contests this year. Wisconsin, is split on passing the total of 42 points but I ultimately think they take care of business here. Teams likes Purdue, Rutgers, and Nebraska are handing 34+ on the Terrapins defense who is now without a coach. Wisconsin certainly doesn’t have an electric offense but they are averaging 24 points a game which is about what we need from them here. I expect Wisco to get us to 30+ and Maryland to open up the bag of tricks for a couple scores as well. Fickel will also take any chance he can at padding the stats. We will have one in the boat before the rest of the noons wrap up. Badgers thrash the Terrapins, 34-20.
Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech over 73.5 (1 unit): Short and sweet – there’s not a number in the world that would be high enough for me to stay away.
Week 11 Leans (0.5 units):
Florida State +3.5 at Pitt: Pitt has been bad with the backup QB in – I like the Noles with a little wind in their sail.
Liberty vs MTSU over 53.5: MTSU have been giving up 30 to teams Liberty beats by 30. Liberty may handle this one on their own.
Yours truly,
Billy Tickets
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