top of page

Week 7 College Football

Week 7 College Football

Week 6 Premium Plays: 1-3 (-4 units)


Week 6 Leans: 1-2 (-0.5 units)


Premium Play Overall Record: 25-11 (+23 units)


Leans Overall Record: 10-14-1 (-2 units)


Combined Overall Record: 35-25-1 (+21 units)


Week 6 Summary: Vegas giveth, Vegas taketh away…. Hot streak comes crashing down on Saturday but we got right on Sunday with a sweep of the premium plays. Ended the week net positive between the two. Wazzou let me down. That one hurt me like it was my own team. Colorado solidified it’s spot on Billy Tickets top 5 most hated college football teams which currently reads as follows: 1. Colorado 2. Florida 3. Oklahoma 4. Miami 5. UCF. Not to be confused with my Billy Tickets Hater/Loser top 5: 1. Florida 2. Colorado 3. Georgia 4. Louisville 5. TCU


Week 7 Preview: Writing this on Friday, October 13th, 2023… Mere hours after I watched West Virginia mount a furious comeback just to piss it away on a hail mary and send me in to the weekend 0-1. Not ideal.


Week 7 Premium Plays:


BYU +6 (3 units): This is another ‘what am I missing?’ game. Did not work out last week. I will contemplate hanging it up if this does not cash. TCU is not a good team despite their preseason rnaking. I keep hearing the talking heads on TV shouting, “TCU this, TCU that, TCU is better than their record suggests!”. TCU just got nut tapped by Iowa State who is in dismay. The Mormons on the other hand have knocked off Cincinnati and Arkansas this season. You can always count on the Mormons to play hard and I think they win outright against a bottom tier TCU team. “TCU dry humps opponent in tosubmission” I believe were my words last time I rode with the Mormons. I think they do it again here. BYU 31-30.


South Carolina -2 (2 units): Shane Beamer is going to get the Gamecocks going here and get them to .500 on the season. Their 3 losses have all come to teams that have been ranked inside the top 15 at some point this season. I don’t think the Gators can play outside of the Swamp and I see them dropping one here to an underrated South Carolina team. Spencer Rattler loves to show off against bad teams. Although Florida has managed to keep the top on their defense, they have struggled mightily against the run. I like Rattler to pick up a few key first downs on the ground. Billy has only won a singular game on the road during his tenure at UF and I don’t think he will get the boys up for this one after his Low-T press conference earlier in the week. Beamer also 2-0 ATS after bye weeks. Billy attending the Beamer Ball School of Covering Games this week in South Carolina, 27-17 Cocks.


Florida State -18.5 (1 unit): Florida State is a tough team to take if you’re in need of a blowout. We saw it against Southern Miss, BC, and even last week against Virginia Tech. Norvell keeps the playbook disguised and rotates young players in early against inferior opponents relying on talent to win games moreso than the game plan itself. This is part of the reason why Florida State has been able to show up in big games. Norvell doesn’t give opponents much to work with on film. HOWEVER, this is not Dino Babers best team. A Syracuse Orangemen team that is reeling after two blowouts against the ACC’s finest in UNC and Clemson. An inept Clemson offense hung 31 and non-existent UNC defense held Syracuse to 7. I don’ think Babers has an identity with this team which will leave Tallahassee with another demoralizing loss to an ACC opponent. 41-13 Noles.


Oregon +3 (2 units): This game is going to be awesome. The difference maker for this one is going to be on the ground as Oregon leans on the run where Washington has trouble stopping the run. I do think the score of this one surprises some people as I see this being a low scoring affair relative to what we are used to with the Pac-12. I think an Oregon defense that ranks 6th in the nation keeps the lid on an explosive Washington offense giving Oregon the edge here. Oregon wins outright 38-28.


Maryland -13.5 (2 units): Maryland alt line -16.5, -20.5, -23.5, -38.5, and so on. Vegas giving us another opportunity to fade Luke Altmyer and Illinois who managed to make a trash Nebraska team look good last week. Maryland can score and Altymer certainly cannot keep up. Brett Bielema might want to consider switching Altmyer to TE like Narduzzi did with King Jerk. Maryland gets right, 41-17.


UNC -3 (1 unit): If you’re a player in the Miami locker room, I do not know how you get your mind right in time to go to Chapel Hill and compete against a team with urgency. UNC has their eyes set on a date in the ACC championship game and I don’t see Miami slowing them down. UNC rolls 31-17.


Leans (0.5 units each):


I could have gone all day with premium plays but I need to get my lean record back in the positive.


Oregon State -3.5: Let down game for UCLA. They had no business beating a Wazzou team that fumbled 3 times in + territory


Notre Dame -2.5: USC has the best player on the field.. Vegas begging you to take the Trojans… Zig when they Zag.. Irish win by a field goal.


Tennessee -3: Let down game for the Aggies. Tennessee looks to gain some traction off of a bye.


Wyoming +11: Haven’t done any research on injuries here but Wyoming just beat arguably the best GO5 team in Fresno State and is now getting 11 points against maybe the next best GO5 team? For the record, I am not betting against the troops to win. I just think Wyoming keeps it between the number.


My strategy of minimizing total plays and really honing in on locks has gone out the window. I’m betting the slate, baby. Rockstar shit.

 

Yours truly,

 

Bill Tickets

33 views0 comments

Recent Posts

See All

Commentaires


bottom of page