WEEK 6 CFB 2025

POW: 3-0 +10.6U

Season: 17-17 +3.9U

Greetings all! I hope everyone had a safe, blessed, and happy work week. I hope you all find some time this weekend to enjoy football, food, and drinks with friends and family. Live life to the fullest! May God bless each and every one of you.

Last Week Recap: If it weren't for TCU and Houston letting me down on a Friday, it would have been a monster week, but we still profited 2.8 units! Shoutout California MoneyLine for getting us right. I liked what I saw out of the Cyclones, but I will not be touching that suspect line as they head to Cincy this weekend. Rutgers got it done for us in a tight one, moving the PICK OF THE WEEK win total to a perfect 3-0! Lastly, I want to shoutout Alabama State! I took them only because the team bus drove past me as I was placing my bets at the border. I also got rid of the miniPOW as I felt like I had to slightly elevate one normal pick for the sake of doing so providing no real edge. Onto this week's picks. I am seeing the board clearly this week so let's make some money! THIS IS MY FAVORITE SLATE AND BEST WRITE UP YET! I am even upping the risked units on several of these games.

• POW: Colorado +14.5 vs TCU (-105): Risk 4.5U to Profit 4.3U

Not only was this one of my favorite selection this week, but at 14.5 I had to slot it as my PICK OF THE WEEK. POW POW! I have been following this Colorado team closely all season, and as you all know, I have been betting the horned frogs heavily, but that changes today. OMG. As I currently type this out, my unit risk is increasing by the sentence I love it so much. This Colorado team is strong and aggressive. They have been battling all year against stronger competition and way better than their record indicates. They could very well just have one loss. They nearly beat GT and BYU, two solid ranked teams, and I expect them to get over the hump this weekend with Coach Prime at the helm. TCU is trending down with their wins appearing fraudulent. I think Colorado can even win this game, and I just do not see them losing by more than two scores which is why I love this line, with a little less vig no less (-105). Sko Buffs!

• (Fri.) New Mexico ML vs SJSU (+115): Risk 3U to Profit 3.5U

New Mexico is a squad who has proven that they can play competent football and score touchdowns. Although UCLA isn't the best example of a power 4 opponent, New Mexico hung up 35 on them and had a decent showing against Michigan. Not only has QB Jack Layne thrown for 6 touchdowns in his past two games, but the lobo defense ranks in the top #30 in both sacks and touchdowns allowed

• (Fri.) San Diego State -6.5 vs CSU (-120): Risk 3U to Profit 2.5U

The 3-1 Aztecs are at home and have a showdown with the Colorado State Rams. Despite only scoring three points last week, I like the Aztecs to bounce back in this spot. They thumped California 34-0, who I believe is a decent team, and the Aztec defense ranks #4 in the country in touchdowns allowed. The Rams have fallen to UTSA and won a nailbiter against the North Colorado Bears. They rank #13o in points per game, and I think this Aztec defense will smother them.

• Pittsburgh -6.5 vs BC (-120): Risk 3U to Profit 2.5U

This is a solid Panthers team who is coming off two close losses, but I like them to cover the one score spread against Boston College. The panther defense ranks #6 in sacks and #7 in rushing yards allowed. This defense will shut down BC's run game and after having watched a couple BC games I do not believe Dylan Lonergan will be able to attack the air. Pitt's offense is more than capable of putting up points too. BC will drop its fourth straight in this spot.

• Kentucky +20.5 vs UGA (-110): Risk 2.5U to Profit 2.3U

UGA is 0-4 against the spread to start the year. No, I do not think Kentucky has a real chance to win this game, although I would enjoy that, but I do think they cover. I really wanted this at 21.5, but 20.5 will have to do. UGA likes to run the ball and that means that clock will tick, tick, tick. I like a 20+ point spread for an underdog who has nothing to lose playing an offense likely to grind it out on the ground. Also, UGA is a very good team, but I do think they tend to play down to their lesser opponents (see 22-point win vs Austin Peay).

• Vandy/Bama O55.5 (-110): Risk 2.5U to Profit 2.3U

I told myself when I saw this game on the slate that I would take the over no matter what. Alabama's offense has been firing as of late, but I do think Vanderbilt will be able to keep up due to Pavia's dynamic, "two-way" skillset, much similar to FSU's Tommy Castellanos. Over!

• Texas -4.5 vs UF (-115): Risk 2.5U to Profit 2.2U

This is purely a line movement play. I was prepared to bet the Gators all week long. I really do not think they are as bad as people make them out to be and this Texas team has shown no flashes of greatness. Arch Manning looks like a mediocre quarterback despite the highest degree of hype we have seen in quite some time. HOWEVER,... the public has nuked GATA into oblivion, so I am obliged to take the better team in a sub-5-point spread. Hook 'em!

• Nebraska -13.5 vs MSU (-110): Risk 2.5U to Profit 2.3U

I cannot stop betting THESE HUSKERS. They are like a drug that leaves you wanting more more more. They rank #2 in passing yards per game with Raiola at the helm, and their defense has allowed the least amount of passing yards than anyone. This Spartan team would rather run the ball, and will be forced into one dimensional play. Matt Rhule will have these boys ready to cover this two score spread.

• Texas Tech -12.5 vs UH (-115): Risk 3U to Profit 2.6U

I am really looking forward to this matchup between these two undefeated Texan teams. Texas Tech has done nothing but handle business on both sides of the ball. They rank #1 in passing yards, #2 in PPG, and their defense ranks top #3 in both takeaways and rushing yards allowed. I know they have played three poor teams, but they proved they belong with a dominant showing against the Utah Utes. Houston has not been dominant and were taken to overtime against Oregon State just last week.

• Florida State ML vs UM (+155): Risk 2.5U to Profit 3.9U

This is a homer pick, but I can back it up. Florida State is a very good football team showing they can easily handle the mighty Crimson Tide, and I am not sold on the undefeated Hurricanes. I expect the crowd to play a significant factor and rattle turnover prone Beck. Gus Malzahn will be emptying his bag and leaving it all out on the table. FSU has a chip on its shoulder, and every ounce of effort will be put into this vicious rivalry game. I refuse to bet the spread, so I am taking the Seminoles outright. I will be risking 2.5U for the sake of unit management, but after my 9th Coors Light tomorrow I will have north of 20U on Tommy Castellanos and the Noles.

• California ML vs DUKE (+125): Risk 2U to Profit 2.5U

If it ain't broke don't fix it. I am also happy to see my colleague THE SPORACLE on the Bears too. I love betting this team led by entertaining QB Sagapolutele. I think Cal is the better team, and I like them to keep the show going at home.

Best of Luck! - Doc