Week 11 College Football
Week 10 Premium Plays: 6-1 (+7 units)
Week 10 Leans: 3-4 (-0.5 units)
Premium Play Overall Record: 37-14 (+37 units)
Leans Overall Record: 19-21-1 (-1 unit)
Combined Overall Record: 56-35-1 (+36 units)
Week 10 Summary: An Asian penis from a clean sweep on 7 premium plays. We are batting 72.5% here on 51 plays. Insane stat line on the premium plays. The leans are leans for a reason. Again, a Asian penis away from a positive weeks in the ‘lean’ category. I am terrified at how much I love this slate this weekend. Either going undefeated or getting blanked and I don’t really see any in between. Good news is I am 10-1 last two weeks.
Week 11 Preview: Michigan finally squares up with a decent team. Should be a good measuring stick game. Also, I envy Connor Stallions and would leave my job immediately if I was offered the same position at any power 5 school in the nation with the exception of 5. I do expect my flowers for sniffing out that Kansas reverse rat trap. Pretty impressive stuff. This week we ride with our boys and sniff out yet another Vegas reverse trap. Might even see our first “Bill’s Boys money line parlay”.
Week 11 Premium Plays:
Kansas -4 (2 units): One of many lines this week that makes no sense. Lance Leipold and the Kansas Jayhawks have been a mainstay in the premium plays for a while now. 5th year senior Jason Bean is on a revenge tour like no other. They avoided a let down spot on the road at an emerging Iowa State team last week and look to stay in contention in the Big 12. This is a Red Raiders defense allowing 400+ yards of total offense per game including close to 200 on the ground. The key for the Jayhawks defensively is going to be containing the Texas Tech run attack led by Tahj Brooks. This game is going to stay on the ground but Kansas is the better team and has more to play for. Jayhawks roll again, 35-28
Washington -9.5 (2 units): I have been adamant about fading this Utes team all yeah (except against a miserable Florida team week 1). Washington appeared to have the ‘two day hangover’ equivalent of a big game hangover following their season defining win against Oregon as they stubbed their toe in back to back weeks before righting the ship at USC (which we cashed on). Utah isn’t exactly sneaking up on anyone and the Huskies get to defend home turf this weekend. I honestly don’t know how Utah hung 55 against an FBS team last week but I am not concerned in any carry over. Utah’s new signal caller plays well against bad teams (Arizona State) but folds against good teams (Oregon). He has a turnover problem which I expect to play a big factor against a Washington defense that is not a brick wall but finds a way to turn the ball over averaging at least a turnover a game. Huskies cruise to a 31-13 skull fucking of the Utes.
Mizzou +2 (2 units): The first trap of the week. I slammed Mizzou money line at +130 the second I saw this line Sunday night. Monday morning I absolutely hated it but I am back in now. Yes, this is a let down spot for Mizzou. Coming out of a big game against a physical team has proven to take a toll on top teams this year. However, I think I have found a loophole in the let down game. Under dog (Kansas, Oklahoma State, Mizzou) teams seem to avoid let down games following a high intensity matchup better than top dog teams (Ohio State, Michigan, Oklahoma). I think you could chalk this one up to arrogance. Additionally, Tennessee is not exactly sneaking up on any team and the Eli Drinkwitz (Shabot Shalom) led Missouri Tigers are still in the race to make the SEC championship game. Brother Eli has been absolutely annihilated by Josh Heupel during is tenure at Missouri losing by a combined score of 166-60 in their 3 meetings. Which is a comical score differential. This may be a red flag to some…. I just changed this from a 3 unit play to a 2 unit play…. But I think Eli has all the ammo he needs to get his team up for this one and return the favor to a lackluster Tennessee team. Look for Missouri to jump on Tennessee in the 2nd half and take this one 31-21.
Oklahoma State Cowboys -2.5 (2 units): Back to the well. Miserable UCF team who will look to play spoiler against an Oklahoma State team coming off their super bowl. However, Gundy has the pokes playing with their hair on fire. Emerging star running back Ollie Gordon II returned after a brief absence in the beginning of the season due to injury and has ran his way into the Heisman conversation. This UCF team allows over 200 yards on the ground per game and extends drives for their opponents with killer penalties averaging 90 yards from the stripes per game. Although John Rhys Plumlee missed some time this season, he is back and has wheels. Good news is this Pokes team is no stranger to out-dueling mobile quarterbacks with wins against Dillon Gabriel, Jason Bean, and Will Howard. All 3 regarded among the most lethal dual-threat QB’s in the country. I’ve said it once and I will say it again, this is going to go down as one of the best coaching jobs of Gundy’s career. Pokes gun down the Knights in broad day light, nothing new for Orange County. 37-17.
LSU/Florida over 65.5 (1 unit): I need to preface my next comment with this: I do not hate Graham Mertz, I am on record saying he is a bad quarterback. I maintain that stance although he looks better than I thought he was going to. I expect him to toss for 350+ air yards this week against an LSU secondary that might as well be non-existent. LSU going to give up 30. I think they pace this one. 48-33.
Florida State -14 (1 unit): Noles good. Canes bad. The Canes come to Tallahassee with the same squad from last years contest between these two which resulted in a 45-3 ass blasting of the city of Miami. When breaking this one down I don't see one area where the Canes have an advantage. Keon Coleman will be back this week and Johnny Wilson has a chance to play as well. Both will had a day against Miami's abismal secondary. Mike Norvell also welcome 60+ blue chip recruits to Tallahassee. I expect the Noles to show off. 41-17.
Leans (0.5 units each)
South Carolina -14: Spencer Ratler is going to try and jump on this Vandy team. A SCar team desperate for a win. 41-17
Boston College -1: These guys just get it done. Tony C is deadly with his feet and this team just finds ways to win.
Memphis/Charlotte over 51: Memphis is the USC of the GO5. Idk what Charlotte is but the way Memphis plays, it shouldn’t matter.
Colorado State -3: Frisky frisky Colorado State team. Look for them to get over the hump at home.
Michigan -4: Very possible Big Blue rolls but I can’t make this one an official play. I choose to believe Connor Stallions is attributable to much of Michigan’s success. I think the stuff he was doing, which we will absolutely take to the grave, is far more reaching than what we are lead to believe.
Bonus Play (1 unit)
Bill’s Boys Money Line Parlay: Pokes, Jayhawks, Noles +225
Sincerely,
William Tickets
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