College Football Week 9
Week 8 Premium Plays: 1-4-1 (-4 units)
Week 8 Leans: 3-2 (+0.5 units)
Overall Premium Plays: 27-21-2 (+9 units)
Overall Leans: 17-17-1 (even)
Overall Combined Record: 44-38-3 (+9 units)
Week 8 Summary: Sundayyyy Bloody Sundayyyy…. All systems go heading down the stretch. Good news is that is the last time you will see the Noles this year. One thing is for sure, Curt Cignetti proved it. What a team.
Week 9 Preview: Vegas throwing some high, stinky stinky cheese. Begging for us to take a swing at some chin music. Take the pitch, good eye, practice swing, practice swing, step in to the box, call the shot, here it comes, meatball right down broadway…… no doubter cock shot straightaway dead center…. Place goes nuts.
Week 9 Premium Plays:
Boise State/UNLV o 63.5 (2 units): Little Friday night fluff for the inevitable public execution of the bookie this weekend. The 3rd and 5th ranked offenses in the country face off under the lights in Vegas. We have 5-1 Boise State taking on 6-1 UNLV with certain conference championship and potential playoff implications on the line. Ashton Jeanty has captivated the country unlike anyone in a long time. Last time we saw a Bronco run like that the blood had not yet dried on OJ’s hands. The clock is our enemy here as both teams like to keep the ball on the ground combining for almost 600 yards of offense on the ground. The clock is going to move but I think we see a couple defensive sell outs allowing for chunk pass plays. Jeanty totals about 245 on the ground and adds in 4TDs. Boise rolls, 45-34.
Blake Horvath o 125.5 pass yards (2 units): First prop bet of the year but value is value. New look Navy offense has a little air raid in it that has exposed defenses looking to sell out on the triple option. Line here indicates a tough game for Navy which I think plays in our favor. Horvath averages 150 yards per game through the air in games they dominate from the jump… What happens when they get punched in the mouth and are down two scores at half? It might not look pretty but Horvath is going to get his attempts in and I think hits pay dirt on a couple. If you have a pass attempts prop for the Cadet, please let me know so I can take out a line of credit. Any number under 17 is free. Notre Dame wins but we get our nut, 35-21
Indiana -6 vs Washington (2 units): Exit Kurtis Rourke, enter Tayven Jackson. Rourke is sidelined due to an injury could not come at a worse time for him as the Hoosiers have the Gameday for the first time ever (I think). Fortunately for us, it will be business as usual with Jackson under center for the Curt Cigneti led Indiana Hoosiers. Washington couldn’t keep the lid on Cade McNamara and the Iowa Hawkeyes, I don’t think it matters who is slinging it for Indiana’s run heavy offense. We could put Curt back there himself and he would go find 200 yards and 2TD’s through the air. Regardless, Trayven Jackson has been in Indiana for three years now and has seen action in all three years. He developed a little bit of a turnover bug last year against top tier defenses but has looked dialed in limited time this year. Cigneti is going to run the ball down a susceptible Washington Huskies front and Jackson will do enough to keep the defense honest. Another Saturday in the office for the Hoosiers, 48-20.
Michigan/Sparty under 39.5 (2 units): Would be a 3 unit play but I have a rule, no 3 unit plays on unders. Too miserable. Point being, Michigan’s offense is in shambles and they are facing off against a Sparty offense that is not going ot put any pressure on them whatsoever to keep pace. Sparty tries to keep it on the ground which plays right in to the teeth of the Michigan defense and vice versa. Add in the rivalry game factor and this is a snooze fest in Ann Arbor to everyone except for Kirk Ferentz. Rock fight. Sparty wins 13-10.
Oregon State +11 at Cal (1 unit): This game might not see a pass. Ever. Oregon State is going to try and slow this one down and pound the rock with stud RB Anthony Hankerson averaging over 100 yards and 2 tuds a game on the ground. Although QB Gevani Mccoy can push the ball down the field, he has a turnover issue which usually results in Hankerson seeing the majority of the work in the redzone. I am fine with all of this as Cal has been decent on defense but far from unbeatable. On the other side, Oregon State keeps the top on the defense but has struggled to stop the run at times. This clock is going to grow wheels and take off. Before you know it, we will holding our fours up at the start of the 4th. 11 points is too much for a below average Cal team to cover. Cal wins but THE OSU keeps it between the numbers, 21-17.
Kansas State -9.5 vs Kansas (3 units): Love this spot for KState and Sunshine (Avery Johnson). KState is going to run the ball effectively, Kansas rush defense couldn’t stop a nose bleed. Kansas can only run the ball, KState has a top 10 defensive front allows only 80 yards per game on the ground. Broken Kansas team heads to Manhattan, Kansas to face off against a veteran KState team chasing a playoff berth. Kansas has a road trip planned to #10 Iowa State the following week. KState gets to sleep walk through Houston. Love love love the spot. Keep in mind, Jalon Daniels and Devin Neal were my absolute boys last year. No love lost. KState rolls, 48-21.
Ole Miss -20 vs Oklahoma (1 unit): Running out of time. Couldn’t put this in the leans section. Broken, dejected Sooners team headed to face a hungry Ole Miss team off a bye. Skull fucking like you’ve never seen.
Week 9 Leans:
Wisconsin +7 vs Penn State: Running out of time or this would be a premium play.
Minnesota -5 vs Maryland: PJ Fleck has this Golden Golphers team rowing the damn boat. Maryland might be nursing a hangover.
USC Trojans 1H -7: I think I have an angle here but not 100% sure. It would appear as if USC starts fast and crumbles late. The opposite is true for this Rutgers team.
Georgia Tech +10.5 at VT: Number too high.
BYU +2 at UCF: Fuck it, gimme da cheese.
Prepare for greatness.
Cheers,
WT
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