Week 5 Premium Plays: 5-0 (+9 units)
Week 5 Leans: 0-4 (-2 units)
Premium Play Overall Record: 24-8 (+27 units)
Leans Overall Record: 9-12-1 (-1.5 units)
Combined Overall Record: 33-20-1 (+25.5 units)
Week 5 Summary: When your guy is calling outright victories on 14 point dogs you just gotta ride the wave. 5-0 weekend on premium plays… none of which were particularly close. Couple notes from games we did not bet on: UGA and USC are not making the playoff, Utah exposed as frauds, and Tulane is off our list of teams we can bet on for the remainder of the year.
Week 6 Preview: Bad break for the boys here as our two most popular fades in Nebraska and Illinois square off Friday night. You’re a sicko if you bet on that game. Red River Rivalry should give us a pretty solid look at who those two teams are. Must win for Brian Kelly at Mizzou for job security. Must win for Nick Saban at TAMu for relevancy. Measuring stick for Maryland.
Week 6 Premium Plays:
Washington State +3.5 (3 units): Uhhhhh what am I missing here? Cam Ward is a top end QB in the nation going to a unproven UCLA team with a freshman QB. The QB under center for UCLA and UCLA’s offense as a whole is not what I want to focus on here as Wazzou’s defense would struggle against my high school team. I want to focus on a QB that has thrown for 1400 yards, 13TD’s, and 0 interceptions through 4 games in Cam Ward. The guy is a gamer and I don’t see UCLA slowing him down. UCLA hung around in a game last week vs Utah (fraudulent) but ultimately could only muster up a measly 7 points. I see Wazzou walking in to Pasadena, CA and running it up by two to three scores on a mediocre UCLA team. Not to mention, UCLA might as well play in a library. They will be lucky to draw 10k fans on Saturday. I’m taking Washington State +3.5 and ML. Cougars non
consonsenually cross-breed with the Bruins. 38-24.
Colorado -3.5 (1 unit): Everyone here knows how I feel about Colorado. Unfortunately for haters of Colorado (me), Arizona State is really bad. They had a dog fight with Southern Utah in week 1 and have been thumped week in and week out since then. We know Colorado is not good but I don’t see an ASU offense that got blanked by Fresno State keeping pace. Colorado covers 38-28.
Kentucky +14.5 (2 units): Joining the public on this one. Vegas gifting us the hook against a Georgia team that doesn’t stop the run particularly well? Vegas has sprung the trap and I am walking right in to it, fat and happy after collecting on Kentucky last week in their route over a low-T Florida team. Kentucky has shown their ability to create offense off of the run and Stoops has created a formidable defense as well. I think this is a low scoring affair playing in to the hands of our 14.5 with Georgia ultimately surviving a scare at home. Be on the look out for Trevin Wallace again this week to disrupt the UGA offense. Dawgs keep their playoff hopes alive, 24-23.
Michigan -18.5 (2 units): Michigan double digit favorites, rinse, repeat. Michigan’s schedule may be easier than Georgia’s schedule but the difference is they continue to win convincingly. They again matchup against an incompetent offense struggling to find an identity. Minnesota has had success on the ground but Michigan may shut that down this week. On the opposite side of the ball, Michigan has one of the nation’s top running attacks going against a Minnesota run defense allowing 130 yards per game on the ground. Michigan muscles past Minnesota, 38-10.
Leans (0.5 units each):
Kansas +2: This was a premium play for me until about the middle of the week. Line flying away from the Jayhawks. Something funny going on in Lawrence surround QB Jalon Daniels. Warmed up at Texas last week and claimed he had an injury just before kick. Rumor mill says he is claiming injury the rest of the season to preserve a medical redshirt year and transfer eligibility. Locker room in jeopardy? Veteran backup Jason Bean has the reigns and I still like the Jayhawks… just don’t love them.
Notre Dame -6.5: Feels like Notre Dame is going to run it up on anyone they can after their loss to Ohio State. I think this one gets away from the cardinals late.
Florida State -24: This is a must blowout for the Noles. Off a bye, need to curb stomp an inferior opponent at home.
All my best,
Guillermo Entradas
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