College Football Week 4
Week 3 Premium Plays: 2-4 (-6 units)
Week 3 Leans: 2-3 (-0.5 units)
Overall Premium Plays: 10-6 (+5 units)
Overall Leans: 7-8 (-0.5 units)
Overall Combined Record: 17-14 (+4.5 units)
Week 3 Summary: Pain. Just pain everywhere. I feel violated by O/U’s and may just stick to sides from now on. ND/Purdue wrapping up the first half at 42-0 was just a kick in the dick. Didn’t know ND was capable of that.
Week 4 Preview: A few interesting matchups this week. Nebraska/Illinois, USC/Michigan, Utah/OK State, Tennessee/OU. I will not be betting on all of these games but should weed out some pretenders. Keeping this one short. Happy hour calling my name.
Week 4 Premium Plays:
Indiana Hoosiers -28 (1 unit): Allow me to introduce to you, Curt Cignetti, Head ball coach at Indiana University, home of the Hoosiers and once of the most miserable college football teams in the history of the sport. They quite literally have nothing to show for 80 years in the game. One thing about Curt, he clearly does not give a flying cunt about anything. From day one, this lunatic started calling out Michigan and Ohio State at halftime of an Indiana basketball game. He followed up that performance with the following quote in response to a question regarding the Hoosiers week 2 trip to the Rose Bowl, “We’re just going to an old stadium to kick somebody’s ass”. Tip of the cap, Curt. You were right. The guy is not only a quote machine but he’s a winner, as exemplified during his time at JMU. Curt is out for blood and shown he will bury lesser opponents. QB Kurtis Rourke takes care of the ball but distributes it well with four WR’s totaling over 100 yards through 3 games. Similarly, the rushing attack is a 3 headed monster averaging 7 yards a clip on the ground. The only thing the Charlotte 49ers have made abundantly clear through 3 games is they will let you do absolutely whatever you want with the ball. PDiddy style. I expect Curt Cignetti and the Indiana Hoosiers to violate Charlotte. Hoosiers win 45-7
Miami (OH) Team Total under 7.5 (1 unit): Learning from prior mistakes…. We are going with the team total under here instead of the game under. I previously highlighted Miami of Ohio’s 9th year QB Brett Gabbert I believe back in week 1. Refuse to give that bum anymore shine. He sucks. This Miami (OH) offense makes Hudson Card and the Purdue Boilermakers look like a prime Mike Leach/Gardner Minshew Air Raid offense. ND defense appears to be legit and I expect a similar outing to last weeks 66-7 lobotomy of the Boilermakers.
Miami/USF under 65.5 (2 unit): No rest for the weary. Alex Golesh and the USF Bulls gear up for another top 25 team, this time at home. This number is inflated for a couple reasons. 1. Miami has not played a top 100 defense yet. 2. USF has scorched dog shit teams. I am not comparing Miami’s defense to Alabama’s defense but USF is going to struggle to move the ball against a different caliber player. If you watched the USF/Alabama game, the score is deceiving. Bama had 14 points to start the 4th quarter and finally pulled away late. Miami is going to keep this one on the ground in my opinion and that first half clock is going to bleed as USF does the same. Tick tick tick next thing you know we have 40 points to give late 3rd quarter. Miami wins against a good USF team by a score of 38-14.
Cal Bears +3 (1 unit): I’ve got no fight left in me with the Florida State Seminoles. Lot of blame to go around. ESPN really showing the Noles who daddy is by tossing us in another primetime game where the Noles will surely look incompetent again in our half filled under construction stadium. Cal is going to run the ball down our throats and the we will not be able to move the ball against they/thems. Cal 31-17.
Boston College -6 (2 units): Boston College and Thomas Castellanos looked great on Saturday at Mizzou despite the loss. They showed they are competent and didn’t just take advantage of dog shit teams (FSU and Duquesne). The Golden Eagles welcome Michigan State to Chestnut hill on Saturday night and I think they add Sparty to the list of dogshit teams. Sparty is susceptible to mobile QBs and I think Kyler Murray Jr is going to take advantage. Expect 70+ yards on the ground form the BC QB en route to a healthy win. Sparty is not a good football team despite a 3-0 record. Two concerns here: Big game hangover for BC and a low scoring affair. I still trust BC to cover the number. 27-17.
Fresno State Team Total over 36.5 (2 units): Running out of time. Set it and forget it. While you’re there, tap -12 as well. New Mexico gave up 35 to Montana State, 61 to Arizona, and most surprisingly – 45 to Auburn. Fresno State and score.
Week 4 Leans:
Virginia Tech/Rutgers over 44: Number is too low here. Going to be a track meet because neither team can throw for shit but 44 is just too low. Mobile QB for VT and a stable of RB’s for Rutgers get this over.
Oklahoma +7: Fade the public. I guarantee your boy is on Tennessee.
Oregon State -4: Hudson Card is this years Luke Altmyer. See Hudson, Fade Hudson.
Nothing more dangerous than backing a dog in to a corner. This one’s for the bookie. Enjoy your Ramen.
Cheers,
Tickets
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