College Football Week 3

College Football Week 3

Week 2 Premium Plays: 1-2 (-4 units)

Week 2 Leans: 1-3 (-1 unit)

Overall Premium Plays: 8-2 (+11 units)

Overall Leans: 5-5 (even)

Overall Combined Record: 13-7 (+11 units)

Week 2 Summary: A singular Asian penis from another clean sweep on the premium plays. Started with an OT cuck in Northwestern and ended with our 3 unit max crumbling in the second half. Can’t even be mad at Northwestern after the run they have been on. Money McNamara let me down.

Week 3 Preview: One word. Surgical.

Week 3 Premium Plays:

Kansas State/Arizona over 59 (2 units): The Avery Johnson led Wildcats have an opportunity to be the front runner for Billy’s Boys with any participation in a cashed ticket here. Kansas State has a more than capable offense matched up against an Arizona defense that has been average at best this year and last year. In 2024 they gave up 39 points to an atrocious New Mexico offense and even let Northern Arizona get in the endzone. An Arizona defense susceptible to the run travels to Manhattan, Kansas to face off against a offense averaging over 7 yards per attempt. QB Avery Johnson, RB DJ Giddens, and RB Dylan Edwards are gearing up for a track meet. On the other side of the ball, Arizona returns their star duo at QB and WR in Noah Fifita and Tetairoa McMillan. Fifita threw for 3k yards last year with 1,400 of those going to Big Uce, McMillan. Arizona ranked among the nations leader in total offense and picked up this year right where they left off. Although they stubbed their toe in a win against Northern Arizona that was closer than it should have been, we watched a true freshman QB at Tulane walk up and down the field on a veteran Kansas State defense. Cue ‘Shootouts in Soho – Westside Gunn’, KState 44-34.

Arkansas State team total under 11.5 (1 unit): Not much to this one. Arkansas State hasn’t looked great this year skating by Central Arkansas (Mini Mike Norvell’s Alma Mater - everything reminds me of the Noles) and a trash Tulsa team. The Red Wolves have relied heavily on the run which plays to the Michigan defense. Michigan got clowned last week but this is a Michigan team that is going to take advantage of lesser opponents. Fresno State has a competent offense and only mustered up 10 points in the opener against Michigan. Less than 60 rush yards and multiple interceptions for the Red Wolves in Ann Arbor.

ND/Purdue under 47.5 (3 units): Sooo I took to twitter for an update on Notre Dame QB Riley Leonard’s injury and found the only fan base on twitter having a worse meltdown over their QB play than my Florida State Seminoles. Didn’t make me feel any better about DJU. We know what ND is this year. Great defense, lethargic offense led by an inaccurate QB. Tally 24 points for the fighting Irish here. Best part about this bet is I don’t know fuck all about Purdue’s defense. Don’t need too. Geriatric Hudson Card is back for what feels like his 9th season, 2nd at Purdue. Hudson Card’s 2023 campaign was the peak of his carrer where he squeaked above the 2k pass yard mark and threw 8 interceptions on 15 tuds. He’s not good. The Fighting Irish come out like rabid dogs after getting bit by the Northern Illinois Huskies in week 2. Injured/bad Riley Leonard, stellar defense against terrible QB/average (?) defense. Fighting Irish 24 – Purdue 10.

Georgia -24 (2 units): Deja Vue. I swear we cashed on this game in week 1. I went back and forth on taking UGA team total over 34.5 or the spread here and landed on UGA -24. UGA defense is heads and tails above South Carolina who held UGA transfer QB Brock Vandagriff to 30 pass yards. I’d take a stab and say this Bulldogs defense is ready to tee off on the former teammate. UGA is going to move the ball just like they did against Clemson in the opener and stifle the Kentucky offense. Take -24 and while you’re there, tap the team total as well. Dawgs in a blowout, 41-10.

South Carolina +7 (1 unit): Beamer Ball is headed back to Columbia, SC with a little swagger. The high-stepping Gamecocks are led by four-eyes LaNorris Sellers who manages to get the job done despite lackluster stats. The star of the show for the Gamecocks is on the defensive side of the ball in true Freshman, Dylan Stewart. The frosh has 2.5 sacks through 2 games and looks to add to that total against a veteran LSU O-Line. LSU has struggled to find their footing this year and I expect that to continue. Beamer rallies the troops at home and keeps it between the number. Tigahs 27-24

ADDITON (2:40PM 9/13)

Alabama -16 (1 unit): Bama stubbed their toe a week ago against a frisky USF team that just seems to have their number. They travel to Camp Randell this week to face a pretender Wisconsin team. Pretender may not even be the right word. They just aren't good. Tyler Van Dyke was essentially ran out of Miami by Danny Boy Cane and their six fans with torches and pitch forks. He leads a bland Badger offense I see struggling to move the ball on Saturday. Defensively, the D line for Wisconsin is going to be an issue for them. I expect a heavy dose of the run game for Kalen Deboer. Rawl Tahd, Mama Gray. 34-10.

Leans (0.5 units each):

Illinois -18: Could not get enough of fading this Illini team last year. Script has flipped and they almost made an appearance in the premium plays for the first time ever. Luke Altmyer is much improved and Central Michigan lost by 42 to FIU who is garbage. Call it a Lean+

Duke -16.5: Another Lean+ play here. Follow the losses. FAU got their doors blown off by Army, Michigan State barely beat FAU, Maryland lost to Michigan State, UConn lost to Maryland by 43. Duke -16.5 on a Lean+ play.

OU/Tulane over 47.5: Love it.

Ole Miss team total over 43.5: Ole Miss offense good, Wake Forrest defense bad

NC State/LA Tech under 48.5: Punt fest. Bad bad offenses.

Tough slate for the uninformed, square, average joe betters. Thanksgiving came early for the Billy ‘The Surgeon’ Tickets. Let’s feast.

Cheers,

William Tickets