2024 CFB Week 2 Picks // Spo
Last Week’s Record: 8-8 (+10.85u )
Overall Season Record: 8-12 (-5.15u)
Recap of Last Week:
Great week last week, and we recovered from our pitiful performance of Week 0 – in the words of the great Boston Richey, “Ima get that get-back even if I get life, trust me”, and that’s exactly what we did.
Even though we went 8-8 overall, we hit both 5u bets, and Boston College came through on the Moneyline at +575 – we call that unit management, baby.
As for my beloved Seminoles, I think Brian Kelly’s press conference after receiving a season-opening beat down for the 3rd year in a row really summarizes what’s going on in Leon County.
No improvement in any aspect from the Noles from Week 0 to Week 1, and honestly probably a regression. Just bad, bad play all around. I guess that's what happens when the entire team hates the starting QB.
Not going to get into it as I’ve already covered the Tallahassee Shitshow in this article, and any further discussions will most likely lead to me being Baker Acted – I wouldn’t be able to write these articles if I was locked up in a psych ward (shout out Room 213), so let’s try to avoid that
This week’s games aren’t anything to write home about, and at the beginning of the week I was not seeing the slate whatsoever – I dug in and did some more research, and now I’m really liking some of these picks this week.
Gonna limit the units on the Parlays and Teasers as that bit us in the ass last week, but I’m feeling good about these straights.
Get your skates on, and let’s roll
Picks:
Georgia Tech/Syracuse Over 61 -110 (3u)
Seemingly everyone is on Syracuse in this one as Georgia Tech has reached its peak in the marketplace
I think the over in this game is a better spot, and here’s why – Ohio was able to rattle off 250+ rush yards against Cuse last week, and that’s even with a ton of TFLs forced by the Cuse front 7.
As we know, GT is a run-first team, and I believe they will find success on the ground here.
Another factor to this is that I’m very skeptical of GT’s secondary, as they allowed some deep shots against FSU that the Noles just didn’t capitalize on
McCord threw for 350+ last week and has a talented group surrounding him on the outside, so I think he will take advantage of this
Give me the over, and this should be a fun one to watch
Texas Tech vs Washington State Over 66.5 -110 (2u)
This is really just a principle bet for Mike Leach.
Mike “The Pirate” Leach would love nothing more than each of his former teams to score 100 in this game, so that’s what we’ll root for as well.
Texas Tech also gave up 51 points to Abilene Christian last week, and Wazzu gave up 30 to Portland State themselves.
That’s enough to sell me. Rest in peace, Mike Leach.
Iowa State vs Iowa ML -145 (5u)
I still vividly remember Noles fans wanting to take a look at Matt Campbell as head coach after Jimbo Fisher fucked FSU like ex-UF football player Taylor Jacobs fucked his wife (too far?).
Anyways, Campbell is now a confirmed loser, as can be further proven by the video here
Outside of the coaching, Iowa is just a better team – Cade McNamara looks like his cerebral palsy has been cured, and Iowa State is without their leader and communicator on defense, Caleb Bacon.
I’ve seen people taking the over because they think McNamara is now the second-coming of Jesus Christ himself, but let’s pump the brakes on that – it’s still Iowa.
With that being said, Iowa shouldn’t have any issues with this Cyclone team at home.
Michigan State vs Maryland -9.5 -110 (2u)
Mike Locksley and the Terrapins have covered the spread against MSU the past 2 seasons, and I don’t see a reason that would stop now.
Michigan State is in a rebuild year after having to bring in Jonathan Smith as HC after their guy Mel Tucker was exposed for beating off to a sexual abuse victim over the telephone – I wish that was a joke, but it’s safe to say Mel was fired for cause.
Outside of that, the QB, Aidan Chiles, for MSU is just not good, and they’re coming off a nail biter with FAU – it will be interesting to see how they respond to a road conference game in Week 2, but I’m not optimistic
Reports say that on the other side, QB for the Terps Billy Edwards Jr. has won the locker room, and he put on an impressive performance in Week 1
I expect the Terrapins to handle business here.
And shout out to Coach Smith for giving The Noles a heads up on DJU – fucking scumbag.
South Carolina TT Under 16.5 -120 vs Kentucky (3u)
This could be a 5u if it was 17.5, but I’m not seeing it on my books.
SCAR looked atrocious last week, and almost lost outright to Old Dominion.
But more importantly, Kentucky’s Mark Stoops has made a living beating shitty offenses – see UF the past 2 years.
It’s my belief that Shane Beamer’s message to the locker room may not be hitting home with the team, and when you have horrible QB play to go with that, things go south quickly (see Florida State).
I think Kentucky’s offense sucks too, but that’s why we’re just backing their defense here.
Go Cats.
Houston vs Oklahoma -28 -110 (4u)
I backed OU last week, and I’ll back them here again.
As I mentioned I my Futures article, Houston is in a complete rebuild, and will be lucky to be competitive at all this year.
On the flip side, you have a young offense for Oklahoma that needs all the experience it can get.
Jackson Arnold will probably play the entire game, and that only helps us on this spread.
I’m telling you, watch out for this Oklahoma team later in the year – Brent Venables is a great coach and always gets the most out of his players.
They’ll roll in another ass pumping this weekend.
Appalachian State vs Clemson Under 53 -110 (4u)
If you watched the UGA/Clemson game last week, you saw a competitive first half, and the complete opposite in the second half.
This Clemson defense is always legit, evidenced by holding UGA to only 6 points in the first half a week ago.
Their issue is Cade Klubnik appears to have an extra chromosome, and they couldn’t move the ball worth a damn. In turn, the defense gets gassed, and that’s why we saw the blowout in the 2nd half.
This Clemson defense will show up as they always do, and Appalachian State just doesn’t have the firepower to score on this team.
Fans are calling for a QB change at Clemson, but apparently there is no one behind Klubnik that can play, either.
I don’t see many points in this game, and fake Death Valley should be rocking for the home opener.
Under, under, under.
Boise St vs Oregon -19.5 -110 (3u)
Oregon had a close one last week with Idaho, despite the gaudy numbers put up by Dillon Gabriel.
If you look into it, the Ducks were hampered by countless penalties and inefficiency in the redzone.
I don’t know this, but I expect that Dan Lanning rode his players hard all week in practice, and I think we’ll see a different team on the field on Saturday.
For Boise State, their defensive problems were not remedied by promoting their DC to HC, and it will be extremely tough to stop this Ducks offense.
Furthermore, I’m sure Phil Knight was not enthused with the first performance his child slave-laboring earned money bought him, so Lanning probably got an earful from that old corpse as well.
Lay the points, this one is a get-right game for Oregon, and they’ll cruise.
Chalk Parlay:
Texas ML / Utah ML / Nebraska ML +113 (1.5u)
Degen Parlay:
Syracuse ML / Tulane ML / SDSU ML +2305 (0.5u)
Potential Futures to Add:
Miller Moss Heisman +1800
Cam Rising Heisman +3000 (still hasn't moved from pre-season)
That’s all for this week – pretty shitty slate of games, but we’ve got our spots and we will make the most of it.
Follow on Twitter @spossports to stay updated if anything is added, and you can always track what we’ve got at the link below.
Spo Out.
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